As ever, take with a grain of salt...
Gallup Daily: Obama Hits 50% for First Time: "Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 30 through Sept. 1, finds Barack Obama leading the race for president with his highest share of support to date. Fully half of national registered voters now favor Obama for president, while 42% back John McCain."
Just a wild and crazy guess, but I bet this has something to do with it: "The Democratic convention appears to have helped solidify support for Barack Obama among former Hillary Clinton supporters, with the percent saying they will vote for Obama in November moving from 70% pre-convention to 81% after the convention, and the percent certain to vote for Obama jumping from 47% to 65%."
Amazing what some serious speechifizing can do.
But, please remember, if Obama loses, it's Clinton's fault.
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