John McCain is going to win

In 75 days, Americans will head to voter booths and elect John McCain as the 44th President of the United States.

This is not a threat, nor is it nervous hand wringing. As of August 21, 2008, it is just nonpartisan common sense. Come November, John McCain will win. Very possibly by a lot.

There are myriad reasons for believing that Barack Obama's historic run for the Presidency is destined to end in failure:

Voter fraud

The 2000 and 2004 Presidential elections were fraught with voter fraud. And there is very little reason to believe that the 2008 Presidential election will be any different, as the Democratic Party has done little in the way of investigating obvious cases of voter fraud in Ohio, Florida and elsewhere. If the vote is close, McCain will win.


Race

Barack Obama is an incredibly impressive politician. He is a brilliant speaker, thoughtful, can think on his feet and truly exudes competency and intelligence. But he is also African-American. And regardless of one's opinion of the "Bradley Effect," Obama's race matters. To believe that Obama will not lose votes due to his race is to have one's head buried in the sand. What remains to be seen is how many votes Obama will lose due to racism. It could be .5 percent, it could be 10.5 percent. But it will happen. The United States is not an evolved nation when it comes to racism and that will become even more clear on Nov. 4.

Bush and Cheney

McCain has made a habit of openly questioning Obama's patriotism, accusing him of wanting to see the U.S. "lose" in Iraq for political gain. What's ironic about this hateful claim is that the Republicans currently running the Executive Branch have placed have based nearly every decision they've made on politics and being beholden to big business.

Do you remember when George W. Bush announced he would veto any FISA bill that did not contain retroactive immunity for telecoms? That is putting politics ahead of patriotism. And it shows the disinterest and distaste for American citizens that has become the hallmark of the GOP. There will be an October surprise, which could go as far as World War III. Make no mistake; John McCain has the full power of the White House behind him.

Low Information Voters

The term "Low Information Voter" is a pleasant way to say that there is a huge block of American voters that are either disinterested, or just plain ignorant in regard to their government.

A recent Pew Survey asked Americans three questions - who is the U.S. Secretary of Defense, which party holds the majority in the House of Representatives and who is the Prime Minister of Great Britain. Only 18 percent of those surveyed were able to get all three of these questions correct.

Despite eight years of Republican rule that has given the U.S. two wars, driven the dollar to historic lows, created a massive housing crisis, and run up an astronomical budget deficit, there is a large contingent of American voters who just will not be able to make the connection that a McCain presidency will bring more of the same.

The Media

If a Presidential candidate runs an incredibly inept campaign and no one sees it, does it make a sound? Because John McCain is currently every bit as bad a politician as Obama is a good one, but unless a voter is willing to find out just how miserable McCain has been, they'll never know. More than anything, the mainstream media is why Barack Obama will lose.

McCain has run a truly horrifying campaign at this juncture and it has cost him very little. In fact, despite having a campaign run by Karl Rove and a slew of lobbyists, and despite having a miserable record when it comes to foreign policy, and despite consistently neglecting his fellow veterans, he is still viewed as some type of unique figure in American politics who will stand up against anybody and who possesses brilliant military instincts.

When McCain took exorbitant contributions from oil companies and then immediately started to shill for off-shore drilling one would imagine that he'd pay a political price. But he didn't. Even today, you'll see "political experts" on news shows talking about McCain being a bipartisan "maverick." And they say this knowing full well that McCain voted on the same side as President Bush 95 percent of the time. This will not change.

Liberal fear

The current meme traveling through liberal circles is that Obama needs to "fight back harder." This is a strange theory in that Obama has fought back against McCain's attacks, generally with a biting humor. In fact, one can look at events of today to see that Obama is more than willing to take the offensive. It took roughly five minutes for the Obama campaign to jump on McCain's "I'll have to look into how many houses I own" comments, producing an ad seemingly out of nowhere.

As far as standing up for himself, Obama has been steady from Day One. Where he has been shaky is in being unwilling to embrace liberal values.

Because despite being a rigid conservative, McCain was not rigidly conservative enough for the growing far-right faction of the GOP. But the simple fact is this - conservatives will vote for John McCain. They will never, ever vote for Obama or any other Democratic nominee, regardless of their feelings toward their own candidate. McCain could nominate an abortion doctor as his vice-presidential nominee, and conservatives will still vote for him.

And yet Obama has continually tried to showcase himself as a centrist who would is excited to work with Republicans. It is a losing philosophy.

Change you can believe in

Obviously nothing is written in stone. With just under three months until the election, there are numerous things that could happen that could help propel Barack Obama to the Presidency. But they haven't happened yet. And McCain has paid very, very little for his pathetic and gaffe-ridden campaigning thus far, so it remains to be seen exactly what McCain would have to do or say that would cost him come November.

Of course, Obama could make it all moot by doing just one thing - choosing Hillary Clinton as his vice-president.

--WKW

Crossposted at Williamkwolfrum.com


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